Welcome to the Week 1 NFL Trends Report! This will be a weekly article where I provide you with my favorite trend for every single game that week.
In most cases, these will be playable trends that make sense to apply to your handicap. So, none of this silly “team X has covered in 75% of its non-divisional road games in October when playing at a stadium that has a retractable roof” crap. Trends like that with multiple qualifiers are almost always coincidental and anyone who sees value in them is not a serious person.
Instead, I’ll mainly provide trends that can be backed with stats that the NFL odds market hasn’t shown an overwhelming reaction to. For full transparency, we won’t always have a lights-out trend to consider backing for every single game, so I’ll be sure to point out when a trend shouldn’t factor into your handicap or NFL picks.
Week 1 and the first few weeks of any season can be a little tricky as old trends can give way to new ones, but we’re also likely to see some carryover from previous seasons, so let’s go!
